Sunday, October 17, 2010

Irish bank bail out costs escalate


IMG_6260_edited-1 The cost to the Irish State of capitalising credit institutions at September 2010 was as follows:


Billion Cost of acquiring shares Preference Shares Promissory Notes Total State Capital at Sep 2010
Anglo Irish 4.0   18.88 22.88
AIB 0.28 2.5 -   3.78
BOI 1.95 1.8 -   3.75
INBS 0.10 - 2.60   2.70
EBS 0.10 - 0.25   0.35
TOTAL 6.43 5.3 21.75 33.48


The cost of future assistance is estimated at €12.26 billion

Billion Projected Future Assistance Return on Investment to date Overall
State Capital
Anglo Irish 6.4   29.28
AIB 3.7     7.48
BOI - -0.49   3.26
INBS 2.7     5.40
EBS 0.0     0.35
TOTAL 12.8 -0.49 45.74


A substantial proportion of the shares in Bank of Ireland have been converted into preference shares leaving a balance of ordinary shares amounting to €1.95 billion.

The State continues to hold €3.5 billion in preference shares.

The National Pension Reserve Fund is to underwrite a placing and open offer of €5.4 billion in AIB.  If necessary, the NPRF underwriting commitment will be satisfied by the conversion of up to €1.7 billion of its existing preference shares in AIB into ordinary shares. along with a new cash investment.for the balance of €3.7 billion in ordinary shares.

The foregoing assumes that the AIB investment in M&T Bank Buffalo New York will be sold and that other assets will also be disposed in due course.  If there is a shortfall of capital by 31 March 2011 any shortfall will be met by the conversion of a proportion of the remaining €1.8 billion of preference shares. 

Future capital needs of EBS are to be met from negotiations with several parties about its future. 

Future transfers into Anglo Irish Bank and Irish Nationwide Building Society are classified as capital transfers and a directly returnable investment.

All investments to date in AIB and BOI have been provided by the National Pension Reserve Fund.

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